Young Thug's sophomore album Punk is headed for around 85K in its first week

It will battle Drake's Certified Lover Boy, which has been out for seven weeks, for number one on the album chart.

Those numbers would mark a big decline from Thug's debut album So Much Fun --which did 131K in its first week in 2019 -- and wouldn't even match the first week of some of his commercial mixtapes.

DJ Akademiks says those numbers prove Thugger isn't a "big dog."

Drake and Young Thug are currently both projected to sell around 80-85K first week! They are battling for #1 album next week on the charts!

— DJ Akademiks (@Akademiks) October 20, 2021

I understand why hella rappers ducked Drake release date and delayed their albums cuz of him… if he’s competing with young thug first week sales in his 7th week… it don’t make no f*ckin sense

— DJ Akademiks (@Akademiks) October 20, 2021

Btw I’m honest as I said .. any artist who don’t sell 100K ain’t a big dawg! Even thug. I look at thug as an exec tryna push YSL than consider his solo efforts sort of where Rick Ross was at when he started pushing MMG more than his own music. Thug still a legend but #s don’t lie

— DJ Akademiks (@Akademiks) October 20, 2021

"Btw I’m honest as I said .. any artist who don’t sell 100K ain’t a big dawg! Even thug. I look at thug as an exec tryna push YSL than consider his solo efforts sort of where Rick Ross was at when he started pushing MMG more than his own music. Thug still a legend but #s don’t lie,"Ak wrote.

That calculus could also been seen as a shot against Ak's old enemy Meek Mill, as Meek's Expensive Pain album also just failed to clear six figures first week.